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Sports Betting Systems

Archive for December, 2008

If you’re anything like me, you’ve found yourself surfing the internet looking at how to make some quick money. I’m sure that you’ve come across a site or two where you’ve said to yourself “This sounds too good to be true.”

I came across one of these, sounds to good to be true site in the beginning of the NBA system. This site basically stated that you could win 97% of your NBA bets. In addition, they offered a money back guarantee in which you could try the system for 8 weeks and if you did not make a profit they would return the cost of the system.

They claimed the following records for previous NBA seasons.

2004-05 Season: 68 wins – 2 Losses

2005-06 Season: 71 wins – 3 Losses

2006-07 Season: 66 wins – 2 Losses

Yeah right! The site seamed convincing enough though. The site was filled with customer testimonials as well as video testimonial. As I’ve probably spent at least $2,000 or so in my lifetime on sites with similar claims I figured, what the heck, if it doesn’t work I’m out only $197. So I went ahead and purchased the system.

Of course, as a true non believer there was no way I was going to play with actual money. I figured I would follow the system using ghost picks, picks I would make “making believe” that I actually placed a wager.

Week after week I waited for the system to fail. Weeks turned into months and those months are turning into what will now become the end of the NBA system. I just couldn’t seem to talk myself into believing what was actually going on. Surely, the system would falter. It just never happened. As of the writing of this article, March 7, 2008 the system is now a stunning 65-1. At minimum I could have won over $5,000. At maximum I would have been looking at making just under $50,000.

As a former non believer I am a total believer and am looking forward to the upcoming MLB season where the system boasts the following records.

2004 season: 48 wins – 0 Losses

2005 season: 55 wins – 3 Losses

2006 season: 52 wins – 1 Loss

2007 season: 67 wins – 3 Losses

Had I followed the system during the NBA season could be up almost $50,000. I don’t plan on making the same mistake twice and missing out on the 2008 MLB season. You may be a bit skeptical yourself after having read this article. Hey, I was just like you not so long ago.

Make the decision yourself and check out http://www.SportsBettingChamp.com. You’ll be glad that you did.

Anthony T. Torres is a online marketing and sales professional.

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Dec
30

Shifts In Casino Gambling Trends

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The internet’s ability to blur boundaries and society’s acceptance of casino gambling and sports betting ultimately shed light on the inconsistencies and loopholes of American gambling laws. From the makeshift sports book stalls in Nevada, most sports betting activities shifted operations and exploited the possibilities of cyberspace in the mid-1990s. At present, there are numerous online gaming sites catering to sports betting and casino gambling based in countries like Jamaica, Costa Rica, and Ireland.

Despite overseas-based operations, the lion’s share of the revenues and clients of these sites come from American states. In fact, recent studies show that these online casino gambling and sports betting sites earn more than legal casinos operating in Nevada. The profits of online gambling and betting sites are estimated at $70 billion for 2005 alone. This is a staggering amount compared to the reported $2 billion from Nevada casinos. This is enough to overthrow the three-decade reign of Nevada casinos from the 60′s to the early 90′s. Considering that sports book and casino sites have been operating for less than two decades, they are clearly a threat to the thriving Nevada gambling scene.

For decades, Las Vegas is the only place legal for gambling operations. Atlantic City followed suit and made casino gambling legal; the following decades saw the proliferation of state lotteries, card clubs, gaming ships, Indian casinos, and off-track betting salons across the nation. But still, these developments are not enough to compete with online gambling. The industry of online gambling is not even swayed by staunch opposition from legal US casinos. The gambling laws of the United States of America do not help, too. They vary widely from the different states. Most states ban all forms of gambling while some make exceptions. Inconsistencies like these make it easy for online operators to find and use loopholes in the law. The American Gaming Association maintains a defensive stand regarding online gambling. The association pushes for federal laws on the regulation of online gambling. According to them, the unregulated nature of the online gambling industry is its advantage over traditional casinos; regulating it puts both camps on even footing.

But despite this stand, some Nevada casinos are following the old stand-by: if you cannot beat them, join them. November 1998 saw the start of a new trend; traditional casinos started acquiring off-shore online casino gambling companies to improve their profits. An affiliate of the Hilton Hotels absorbed the Australian sports book Centrebet.com. Other Nevada casinos followed and this cycle again spawned a new barrage of debates.

Contrary to their earlier dislike of the online gambling industry, the traditional casinos set their sights higher. They are now pressuring the Congress to pass a law that legalizes online gambling. This is done in an effort to lower production costs; legalization means that they could now shift their operations in the US. Harrah’s and MGM Mirage, the two leading casinos in Nevada and undoubtedly owning their own online gambling sites, lead the casinos in requesting for the regulation of online gaming. Clearly, this move requesting for regulation does not intend to put traditional casinos at par with online sites anymore. The competition shifted between independent online sites and Nevada casino-owned sites. A move to regulate translates to double profits for the Nevada casinos.

Whatever comes out of this new development in casino gambling, gamers are still assured of their gambling fix. Possibly, if the proposed regulation is approved, there would be more security in betting online since it is now under US laws. Like before, casino gambling proves itself to be a dynamic and ever-changing industry.

For more valuable information on casino gambling please visit http://www.best-casino-bets.com

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Online Poker Earnings Do I have to report Online Poker Earnings for taxes?

Depending on the country you reside in yes. It is recommended that any income that you make from playing poker should be reported to IRS or Revenue Canada in US and Canada.

This income is taxed as regular earned income, so the for example the United States government gets about 30% of it. Small amounts of online poker earnings may not be a big deal, but if you win a large amount of cash, many online casinos will not give you your money until you fill out your tax forms.

If the government in your country finds that you have made a lot of your income from playing poker and you do not report it, then you could be in for a world of hurt. In some countries you can also claim losses on your taxes from poker losses as well. Check with your federal government for more information.

Where can I track Online Poker Earnings?

There are several sites that allow players to track other player’s earnings and their own earnings. One very popular site is Sharkscope.com. They allow you to type in the user name of the player you wish to analyze and then look at their earnings.

Several other sites exist, all you have to do is search through a major search engine and you will get a huge list.

Can I make Online Poker Earnings without investing money?

Yes. Almost all poker sites today offer freerolls. These tournaments do not cost anything to play. Some sites may require credit card information once you want to cash out your money.

Can I make Online Poker Earnings in the US?

Yes. There are a number of sites you can still play on. Full Tilt allows Americans to play. There are several other sites that allow Americans and several US players use e-passport for transactions.

Can I transfer Online Poker Earnings?

Yes. Many poker sites allow you to transfer earning to other players or to you bank or an internet third party such as e-passport. Once you transfer the money you can either transfer to your bank account or to another player or poker site.

Where can make the most Online Poker Earnings?

This question is a difficult one to answer and requires more in depth discussion. However the best places online would be sites that have many players. The reason is that you are more likely to find worse players who you can advantage of.

Sign up today to the top online poker rooms and get poker deposit codes to start increasing your online poker earnings!

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Dec
28

Rugby Betting

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Rugby betting is inherently easier than football betting. As more points are scored the chance for an upset is very low. Draws rarely occur so really its just betting on 2 outcomes. The odds generally reflect this, for example, New Zealand to beat Scotland was 1/100.

The big money is in handicaps. The bookie sets a handicap, say in the case of New Zealand / Scotland; Scotland would probably get a 50 point head start. So if the game finished 55 – 7, you’d win the handicap bet if you went with the Scots. Odds are usually 10/11 for both teams and 17/1 for the handicap draw. The bookie makes on the over round (ignoring the draw option, he’s paying less than even money for an even money bet).

The bookie to some extent sets the handicap to reflect the likely points difference. However, this is not the main thing on the bookies mind. As he makes on the over round, it’s in his best interest to set the handicap at a value that will ensure he gets bets on both sides. That’s why you get some really stupid handicaps.

In the world cup 2007, England got a 11 point head start against South Africa (in the first game) when the book opened at Ladbrokes. Anyone who read the match reports could see that South Africa were going to hammer England. By kick off the handicap had moved to about 17 but still that was still too low. England duly got hammered and all patriots lost money.

The main advantage the punter has over the bookie is the fact the book has to set the handicap and the punter can pass if its too close. For example in the final of the world cup 2007 the handicap was generally -9 points for South Africa to beat England in the final. This ended up being spot on. Personally, I skipped this as it was way too close to the expected outcome.

So there you have it, an introduction to rugby betting handicaps and why its a potential gold mine for the clued up punter.

Ben writes football betting tips, casino and poker articles for the KLS gambling group.

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When an NFL team takes the field on offense, their goal is simple: gain enough yards on each play as to set up an eventual 1st down, thereby moving the chains and starting the whole process over again, until either a field-goal, or preferably a touch-down, is put up on the scoreboard.

First-downs can be achieved in many different ways of course; either through the air, or on the ground; via the big-play, or by using a more conservative approach that involves more short-yardage conversions in 3rd-down situations.

Regardless of whether a team is built around speedy Pro-Bowl receivers that shred an opponents defense for long gains or they take a more traditional route, involving up-the-middle ‘smash-mouth’ runs with a mix of short-yardage pass attempts thrown in for good measure–all coaching staffs will use the players they have on the field and their accompanying skill sets in the best possible manner to get that next first down, or score.

The important question for those of us looking to beat the Vegas Point spread is: are there certain styles of offense that in the right situations, cover the spread at a higher rate than others?

The answer is yes and this article will briefly explore one style of offense that has produced some very good results against the spread over the past 7 years when a certain statistical bench-mark is achieved.

The particular style of offense I am talking about involves teams that produce a high percentage of big pass play yardage as part of their overall yardage gained by throwing the football.

My official label for this stat is BPY%F (Big Pass Yardage Percentage For) and it is a measurement of the percentage of total team passing yards that were gained from passing plays of 20 or more yards.

Dallas led the league in this category in 2007. 42.5% of the Cowboys passing yardage for the season came on plays of >= 20 yards. Green Bay and San Diego rounded out the top 3. The league average for BPY%F has typically been around 40% in most years over the past decade, but this fell to 37.5% in 2007.

It was actually a good year versus the spread for teams that rely on the deep ball: The top 8 teams in the league for BPY%F were a combined 75-45 ATS and none of the 8 had an ATS record under .500. Conversely, the bottom 8, led by Baltimore’s brutal pass attack (they had a BPY%F of only 25.5%) were a dismal 50-74 ATS.

These interesting results have not played out in a consistent manner over the past 7 years; however, and in some years, teams with a high BPY%F have only been mediocre against the number overall while those at the bottom end of the scale have been closer to .500 ATS.

When we look at teams entering a game with an extremely high BPY%F (greater than 50%); though, a consistent pattern does begin to emerge.

Since 2001–which is when I began to track BPY–teams have been an excellent 145-119 (54.9%) ATS when entering a game with a BPY%F of greater than 50% on the season.

Teams that have this large a percentage of big pass play yards are normally only seen in the first 6-7 weeks of the season, before a mounting number of pass attempts begin to reduce BPY%F to a more normal level, league wide. That’s not to say that some teams have not carried a 50% level all the way to season’s end (Philadelphia from 2006 is a good example, they had a BPY%F well over 50 at the end of that season) only that, this situation does predominantly play on teams that are extremely efficient with the deep-pass right out of the gate.

What we have here is good so far, but, there is one more primary condition that needs to be added to this situation before things really begin to take shape and it involves how ‘game-ready’ the opponent of our focus team happens to be, at this early stage of the season.

Here is the meat of this situation: I have found that teams with a Big Pass Yardage Percentage > 50%, playing a team with a Play Book Execution Penalty per-game average against (PBEPA) of 1.3 or greater are a very strong 56-20 (73.7%) ATS since 2001, for a profit of $3,400.00 when wagering $110 to win back $100.

What are Play Book Execution penalties you might be ready to ask? For those who have not read my NFL Game Sheets Guide, I categorize penalties under a total of 6 different headings and this particular category involves calls such as: Illegal Procedures, Formations, Shifts, Motion, Participation, Snaps and Substitutions; Intentional Grounding; Delay of Game; 12 Men on the Field; Ineligible Receivers, and so on–essentially those flags generated by the break-down of play-calls, mostly on offense. The league average for PBEP’s is normally around 0.7 calls per game (on each team).

It’s a category of penalties that act as a good yardstick for measuring the quality of a team’s coaching staff and also provides an indication if players are being used in schemes where they are comfortable and have the necessary skills to succeed.

Combining a team that is having great success with the deep ball early in the season, with a team that is perhaps at the other end of the spectrum in regards to ‘preparedness’ and offensive efficiency and creativity, creates line value that the astute bettor can exploit.

In addition to the main conditions described above, there are a few secondary conditions that serve to tighten the record of this trend.

Firstly, any games with an Over/Under of greater than 48 are excluded and our focus team must also be coming off a game in which their Time of Possession was 23 minutes or greater (TOPF is an excellent barometer of the overall health of a team, both on offense and defense).

In addition, teams that are coming off back-to-back SU wins of >= 14 points are also excluded as they are more likely to be either overvalued, or at risk for a let-down in the current game.

Lastly, teams that met their current opponent either earlier in the season, or anytime within the previous 2 seasons, and had a turn-over differential (TOD) of <= -3 in this game, are excluded. Teams in this situation have been only 90-111 ATS overall since 1994 and 4-6 ATS with regards to this trend in particular.

Here are all the details.

(Notes: ASMR stands for Average Spread Margin Rating. A positive rating indicates a trend that is stronger than average versus the line, negative–weaker than average. TDIS% is the percentage of teams in the league that have been involved in this situation at one time or another. WT% is the percentage of teams that are .500 or better and SPR is the average spread for teams in this situation. For more details, please consult Page 13 of my 2007 NFL Game Sheets Guide.)

Situational Trend #76 Summary

Primary Conditions (Building Blocks)
1) Big Pass Yardage % For (BPY%F) > 50%.
2) Opponent’s Play Book Execution Penalty Average Against (PBEPA) > 1.3.

Secondary Conditions (Tighteners)
1) Exclude Over/Under (OU) >= 48.
2) Exclude Time of Possession For (TOPF) in Last Game of <= 23.
3) Exclude Back-to-Back SU Wins by >= 14 points in Last 2 Games.
4) Exclude Turn-over Differential (TOD) <= -3 in Last Meeting (LM2).

Situation Stats
ASMR: +0.8
Home%: 55.4
Dog%: 42.9
TDIS%: 65.6
WT%: 75.0
SPR: -0.40
Top Teams: PIT(7); ATL(6); CAR(4); CLE(5)

Situation Records
Overall (Since ’01): 48-6 ATS
2007 Season: 6-1 ATS
2006 Season: 9-0 ATS
2005 Season: 15-1 ATS
2004 Season: 11-1 ATS

Last 3 Results. Pick in Brackets.
2007 WK6–CLE 41 MIA 31 (CLE -4.5) W
2007 WK5–WAS 34 DET 3 (WAS -3.5) W
2007 WK4–IND 38 DEN 20 (IND -9.5) W

Dennis Arthur, a self-professed statistics junkie and American Football fanatic, has been providing innovative NFL analysis based against the Vegas point spread since 1999. For more wagering orientated articles like this one along with specialized team ratings and winning selections versus the spread, visit his site at http://www.armchairanalysis.com

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Dec
25

Hosting The Perfect Home Poker Game

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Hosting the Perfect Home Poker Game is something that is on the minds of seemingly millions of Americans. The overwhelming popularity of Texas Hold Em and Casino Games in general over the past few years has driven many to try to Host a Poker Game that has the same feel as their favorite casino poker room or something they saw on t.v. This combined with the recent issues surrounding playing poker online drive more and more groups of people to Host a game of their own.

In order to host a poker game, you will need certain things:

1) A good quality set of poker chips—- the most common are made of a clay/composite material and weigh 11.5 grams each. There are also clay chips Paulson and Nexgen that are found in casinos that can be bought for home use as well.

2) A solid themed playing surface. While you can use any table, having a poker felt layout would be a great beginning. The next step up would be to buy a Folding Poker Table, which can seat up to 10 players, and can come with arm rests and cup holders. The obvious benefit to this type of table is that you can have a professional looking table during the game, and after the game is over it can either be folded and put away, or sent on to the Home where the game will be next time. Finally, for those of you with the space and the desire, you can purchase a Full Size Casino Grade Table….NICE!

3) Playing Cards. You will need at least 2 decks of cards. By using 2 decks, one can always be shuffled and ready for the next hand. You have got lots of options for cards, but the main difference is in the material they are made of. The best quality cards are made of a pvc material. Copag and Kem are the most popular pvc cards on the market. The benefits are that you can spill a drink on them and just wipe it clean and they are much more durable overall. They are more expensive, but because you won’t need to keep getting new cards every week…they are the best value.

4) Buttons. You will at least need a dealer button, but should also get a missed blind, big blind, and little blind buttons. If you play in a game with a kill, then you will need to get a kill button as well.

5) Tournament Timer. This will help you keep track of when to change the blinds/ante. You also have the option to set a timer for tounament teirs. These range from the very basic to the elegant.

These are the basics, but some people also use a Card Cover/Spinner. This lets the dealer know that you are in the hand. Some people use a coin, poker chip, or a bobblehead while others use something that is important to them—like a picture of your kids. You can search for each of these items individually, or head over to www.ExecutiveGamingMonthly.com. Executive Gaming Monthly(EGM) is the first Casino Game of the Month Gift Club, and has 6 different complete Poker Packages in 3 different price points.

EGM’s packages include everything that you need to Host Your Own Game all in one place. We pick the highest quality products for each of the packages, so all you need to do is provide the most important thing—FOOD.

Eric Hansel is the President of Executive Gaming Monthly (EGM), the 1st Casino Game of the Month Gift Club(like a cigar of the month). He has been in sales and marketing for the past 10 years and lives in New Jersey with his wife, and son. Bring the Casino Home with http://www.ExecutiveGamingMonthly.com. EGM has Complete Home Game Packages for Black Jack, Craps, Roulette, Poker, Texas Hold em, and Slots.

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Dec
24

How To Win Betting On Horses

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Is there really a way to win betting on horses? There is and it is not just by becoming lucky. Have you ever seen the movie “Lucky Number Slevin”? It is quite a good movies and it shows a secret that was used before there was drug tests in sports.

People used to win betting on horses because then knew which horses were being given drugs to make them run faster. This was considered a win betting tip. This was the way that some made a living or paid for their children’s college. The movie “Lucky Number Slevin” shows this at the beginning, well you see what happens when you do not win betting.

So how do you win betting on horses? You have to know the odds and the stats. It is a little bit of guess work and there is always a chance that you will lose, but with a statistical approach you can win betting on horses.

Horse betting has become so popular that there are plenty of manuals on different approaches to horse betting. It is so popular that people come from all over the world for top races like the Kentucky Derby. In order to get a hotel for the Derby, in Louisville, you have to book it almost a full year in advance.

Horse racing is a very popular sport and in order to win with your bets you must know the inside and outside information about the horses. There are people that make a living betting on horses and they do very well with it. How do they do so well? Pretty simple, they devise an approach that uses past stats, new information, and all the other necessary information to choose the right bets on the right horses in the right races.

So in order to win betting on horses you need a statistical approach. Just like anything else in life you need to find someone that is successful and knows how to win with horse betting. Then, you need to adapt your own strategy that mirrors the strategy of the successful betters. This is how success is found and by mirroring someone that is already successful, then you will also be successful.

That is the key to win betting on horses. You have to adapt a strategy that is proven and works. Most of the successful betters already know how to win and if you mirror them you will also be successful with horse betting.

Learn a statistical approach to horse betting that actually works. Win more bets and make money betting on the horses. Get more information here:

Horse Betting Success, Click Here

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For many years now, gambling has been growing, in terms of both popularity and accessibility. With the advent of Internet gambling, many people who did not have casinos in their area can now take part in this fun, exciting and potentially profitable pastime. Whether you’re interested in blackjack, poker, horse racing or sports betting, you’ll find some of the best gambling offers on the Internet.

Online gambling allows players from around the world to access some of the finest betting venues on earth, virtually. You can now gamble with some of the biggest and most famous names in the gambling industry and be assured that you will get the best gambling offers from many of the websites listed in your search results.

With online gambling, the rules have changed somewhat. Though odds and lines are still the biggest draw for bettors, there have been new innovations in gambling offers designed to attract bettors from around the world. It has become a race to see what online casino can provide the best gambling offers and attract the most customers.

What most interests you? You’ll find the best gambling offers are actually subjective. Whether you’re looking for improved odds, incentive plans or something else entirely, you’ll find that the best gambling offers allow you a wide range of wagering options, payout options, banking of your winnings and valuable information that goes a long way towards making your betting experience more fun and profitable.

More than being clichés, you’ll find that the best gambling offers allow you to take advantage of many different aspects of the online gaming industry. You’ll be able to increase your profits, boost your winnings and have more fun by taking advantage of the best gambling offers on the Internet.

What constitutes the best gambling offers on the Internet? The term means different things to different people, but they all have one thing in common, increasing your fun and the amount of money that you’re able to win. The best gambling offers will provide you with multiple lines, multiple options for betting, winning and banking those winnings.

Simon Skinner has worked in the online gaming industry since 2000. He has worked for some of the top online sportsbooks and now runs http://www.sportsbook-watch.com which reviews and recommends gambling companies online. He can be reached at info@sportsbook-watch.com

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Dec
22

Surviving Baseball Season

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Baseball is one of those sports that just seems to be the epitome of American culture. Admittedly, being from the Bay Area, I’m a huge Giants fan, but I know that rivalries exist all over the US, and people can become very defensive (or offensive!) during baseball season. I’ve never been to a Red Sox/Yankees game, but I’m pretty sure that the game wouldn’t be the only action going on.

With sports like baseball, there will always be people trying to find the best baseball picks for who will win games, and eventually, the World Series. As I’ve come to discover, the world of sports betting is a very complicated one, and trying to choose who will win the next game can be intimidating and very confusing.

When I was younger, I thought all there was to betting was picking your favorite team, and hoping for the best. Now I’ve come to realize all those statistics available for players and teams can be quite helpful when trying to decide who you’re going to cheer (or bet) for. If you’re going to bet on sports, there are companies that can help you decipher what teams produce the best odds. For example, the Red Sox are sitting pretty right now since they won the World Series last year. They payoff might not be as high as a lower ranked team, however, that goes with the territory. The lower the risk, the lower the payout.

I’m not a gambling expert by any means – I think common sense is one good way to go if you’re going to bet on sports (especially baseball – one of my very favorite sports). If you want a better chance, however, find a company online that can help you out with some mlb picks, and hopefully you’ll be able to improve your odds of winning.

Frank Armstrong is a huge sports fan – especially springtime when baseball starts going. He doesn’t claim to be a guru, however, he advises if you’re looking for the best baseball picks to ask around and talk to experts. In the meantime, he’s going to go enjoy some garlic fries at PacBell Park – or rather AT&T Park.

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Dec
21

Bad Luck in Poker

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For a game where most players rarely consider luck, there are lots of superstitions in poker. When you mention that someone was lucky in that poker tournament they won, be careful of how you say it. For instance, if you mention that you were unlucky, your luck may never change.

Ok, that may sound a bit ubsurd, but poker is a game loaded with superstitions. Did you know that if you are playing a game with two seperate decks and you are asked to pick the deck, you should always pick the deck of cards that is furthest from you? Or, how about If you get a run of bad cards, you must sit on a hankerchief to break your bad luck? It’s actually considered good luck to blow through a deck of cards while they are being shuffled.

Some other fascinating poker superstitions are:

  • You can change the run of cards by walking around your chair three times.
  • The luckiest seat at the poker table faces the door.
  • The unluckiest seat has it’s back to a fireplace.
  • When changing seats, you should always do so clockwise.
  • The unluckiest poker card is the four of clubs.
  • It’s very unlucky to sit with your legs crossed at the poker table.
  • Friday is a bad day for playing cards.
  • The 13th is also a bad day, regardless of what day of the week it is.

For being such a game full of skill, many people still hold on to the old superstitions.

Michael Bradley is the editor in chief for Poker30.net and has created the original guide to Online Poker Sites. Poker30.net is currently featuring Full Tilt Poker Bonus Codes.

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